Phillies vs Giants Picks, Props, Odds & Starting Pitchers for May 29

May 27, 2024; San Francisco, California, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Bryce Harper (3) walks towards the dugout at the end of the seventh inning against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY SportsThe Philadelphia Phillies (38-18) finish up a 3-game series in San Francisco against the Giants (29-27), looking to avoid a series sweep.The Phillies send Cristopher Sanchez (2-3, 3.15 ERA) to the mound to face Kyle Harrison (4-1, 3.90 ERA) of the Giants.Keep reading below to see the top picks for Phillies vs Giants on Wednesday afternoon.

The Phillies might have the best record in baseball at 38-18, but they haven’t been able to add to their win total so far in the Bay Area. San Francisco won a throwback 1-0 game on Tuesday night in 10 innings after claiming an 8-4 victory in Game 1 of the series. Philadelphia will look to leave San Francisco with at least 1 win, but that won’t be easy against a strong Giants starter in Kyle Harrison. Wednesday afternoon’s game is scheduled to start at 3:45 p.m. ET and can be seen on the local NBC Sports stations.

Phillies vs Giants Picks

Under 4.0 runs scored first 5 innings (+100)Bryce Harper over 1.5 hits+runs+RBI (-125)

Harrison has only given up 11 earned runs in 27 innings of work so far in May, good for a 3.67 ERA. Sanchez has allowed 7 earned in 25 innings pitched, which adds up to a 2.52 ERA. Basically, they’ve both been sharp this month. I can’t vouch for either of these bullpens, as their combined bullpen ERAs are in the bottom half of the league rankings, but the first 5 innings should feature some sharp pitching.

With +100 odds for under 4 runs to be scored in the first 5 innings, when both starters will presumably still be in the game, there’s good value to be had. If one guy is going to do damage, though, it could be Philly slugger Bryce Harper, who is 2-for-2 against Harrison in his career with a home run and 2 RBI. That’s not a big body of work, obviously, but it’s not nothing. Harper has also drawn a walk in each of the first 2 games of the series, so he should have opportunities to get on base and score.

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Phillies vs Giants Odds

Odds via bet365 as of May 29. Use bet365 bonus code SBDXLM to get $150 in bonus bets when you place an initial wager of $5+ today.

The Phillies are a slight moneyline favorite in today’s game, boasting -125 odds. The Giants, meanwhile, have +105 odds to win. If you think Philadelphia can win by 2+ runs, you can get +130 odds on it via bet365. The over/under runs total is set at 8.0, with the under checking in at -115. I detailed above why I think the under will hit for the first 5 innings today.

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Phillies vs Giants Starting Pitchers

As you can see, this is a fairly even matchup. Sanchez doesn’t have a record like Harrison’s, but wins are a fickle stat. Both of these guys have been pitching well.

In fact, Sanchez had perhaps his best outing of the year in his last start, going 5.1 innings while allowing only 1 run against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. He didn’t get the victory, though, as the Phillies lost in extra innings.

Sanchez can sometimes be overlooked in a rotation that features Zack Wheeler, Aaron Nola and Ranger Suárez (who is having a great 2024 campaign), but Sanchez has been just a tick behind those guys in most pitching stats.

Meanwhile, Harrison has given up 7 home runs this year, the most on the Giants’ staff. However, 5 of those home runs were allowed in his first 4 starts. He’s only allowed 2 homers in May thus far. He’ll look to close out the month with another strong effort. Philly has hit the seventh-most home runs in the big leagues this season, but don’t expect a derby-like effort against Harrison.

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